The financial hit of Jim Gavin bowing out

Fianna Fáil unlikely to get the €250k back from the state they would have if Jim Gavin had run

The financial hit of Jim Gavin bowing out
Meta's ad library is showing that Jim Gavin's account has been deleted

If nothing else, Jim Gavin dropping out of the residential race will be a financial hit to Fianna Fáil.

They will likely have banked and budgeted for him hitting the threshold where the state will reimburse you for your expenses. Get 12.5% of the vote in a presidential election, and the state will reimburse you up to €250,000 of vouched for expenses (up from €200k last time).

And these elections are expensive - going through the returns from 2018 and 2011 (you can see them on SIPO here), we can see likely costs for things that will already have been paid for:

  • Posters: MDH spent €75k on these last time, Liadh Ni Riada spent €79k
  • Leaflets: MDH spent about €53k on flyers, LNR recorded €84k in election materials, and in 2011 Sean Gallagher spent €43k on printing
  • Photos: lets not forget smaller things like photoshoots - Gallagher recorded €18k for this
  • Digital ads: when I checked last night Gavin was spending about €10k a week on ads in the week to last Thursday - that doesn't include production or agency costs, staff time, all those drones etc...

We'll only know the real financial hit in a few months when the parties each have to submit their returns to SIPO.

I notice, incidentally, that the social media accounts of Gavin have been deleted - and that Meta have also deleted any info of what was spent, while running this insane claim:

This doesn't bode well for when they cut off ads (and possibly but hopefully not the archive) this Friday...

PS - The Gist has a good piece out this morning on the scandal that brought Gavin down

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